Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Factors Affecting Crash Severity among Elderly Drivers: A Multilevel Ordinal Logistic Regression Approach

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dc.creator Alrumaidhi, Mubarak
dc.creator Rakha, Hesham A.
dc.date 2022-09-22T13:15:56Z
dc.date 2022-09-22T13:15:56Z
dc.date 2022-09-14
dc.date 2022-09-22T12:02:04Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-03-01T18:52:43Z
dc.date.available 2023-03-01T18:52:43Z
dc.identifier Alrumaidhi, M.; Rakha, H.A. Factors Affecting Crash Severity among Elderly Drivers: A Multilevel Ordinal Logistic Regression Approach. Sustainability 2022, 14, 11543.
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/10919/111955
dc.identifier https://doi.org/10.3390/su141811543
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/281650
dc.description This study modeled the crash severity of elderly drivers using data from the state of Virginia, United States, for the period of 2014 through to 2021. The impact of several exogenous variables on the level of crash severity was investigated. A multilevel ordinal logistic regression model (M-OLR) was utilized to account for the spatial heterogeneity across different physical jurisdictions. The findings discussed herein indicate that the M-OLR can handle the spatial heterogeneity and lead to a better fit in comparison to a standard ordinal logistic regression model (OLR), as the likelihood-ratio statistics comparing the OLR and M-OLR models were found to be statistically significant, with <i>p</i>-value of &lt;0.001. The results showed that crashes occurring on two-way roads are likely to be more severe than those on one-way roads. Moreover, the risks for older, distracted, and/or drowsy drivers to be involved in more severe crashes escalate than undistracted and nondrowsy drivers. The data also confirmed that the consequences of crashes involving unbelted drivers are prone to be more severe than those for belted drivers and their passengers. Furthermore, the crash severity on higher-speed roads or when linked to high-speed violations is more extreme than on low-speed roads or when operating in compliance with stated speed limits. Crashes that involve animals are likely to lead to property damage only, rather than result in severe injuries. These findings provide insights into the contributing factors for crash severity among older drivers in Virginia and support better designs of Virginia road networks.
dc.description Published version
dc.format application/pdf
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en
dc.publisher MDPI
dc.rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
dc.rights http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.title Factors Affecting Crash Severity among Elderly Drivers: A Multilevel Ordinal Logistic Regression Approach
dc.title Sustainability
dc.type Article - Refereed
dc.type Text


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