Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Modeling adaptation as a flow and stock decision with mitigation

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dc.contributor Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Engineering Systems Division
dc.contributor Webster, Mort
dc.creator Felgenhauer, Tyler
dc.creator Webster, Mort
dc.date 2016-12-15T20:13:18Z
dc.date 2016-12-15T20:13:18Z
dc.date 2013-12
dc.date 2012-01
dc.date 2016-08-18T15:19:11Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-03-01T18:06:01Z
dc.date.available 2023-03-01T18:06:01Z
dc.identifier 0165-0009
dc.identifier 1573-1480
dc.identifier http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/105838
dc.identifier Felgenhauer, Tyler, and Mort Webster. “Modeling Adaptation as a Flow and Stock Decision with Mitigation.” Climatic Change 122, no. 4 (December 11, 2013): 665–679.
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/278744
dc.description An effective policy response to climate change will include, among other things, investments in lowering greenhouse gas emissions (mitigation), as well as short-term temporary (flow) and long-lived capital-intensive (stock) adaptation to climate change. A critical near-term question is how investments in reducing climate damages should be allocated across these elements of a climate policy portfolio, especially in the face of uncertainty in both future climate damages and also the effectiveness of yet-untested adaptation efforts. We build on recent efforts in DICE-based integrated assessment modeling approaches that include two types of adaptation—short-lived flow spending and long-lived depreciable adaptation stock investments—along with mitigation, and we identify and explore the uncertainties that impact the relative proportions of policies within a response portfolio. We demonstrate that the relative ratio of flow adaptation, stock adaptation, and mitigation depend critically on interactions among: 1) the relative effectiveness in the baseline of stock versus flow adaptation, 2) the degree of substitutability between stock and flow adaptation types, and 3) whether there exist physical limits on the amount of damages that can be reduced by flow-type adaptation investments. The results indicate where more empirical research on adaptation could focus to best inform near-term policy decisions, and provide a first step towards considering near-term policies that are flexible in the face of uncertainty.
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en
dc.publisher Springer Netherlands
dc.relation http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10584-013-1016-9
dc.relation Climatic Change
dc.rights Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
dc.rights Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht (outside the USA)
dc.source Springer Netherlands
dc.title Modeling adaptation as a flow and stock decision with mitigation
dc.type Article
dc.type http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle


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