Sangam: A Confluence of Knowledge Streams

Mastering Panel Metrics: Causal Impact of Democracy on Growth

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dc.creator Chen, Shuowen
dc.creator Chernozhukov, Victor V
dc.creator Fernández-Val, Iván
dc.date 2019-11-14T20:37:28Z
dc.date 2019-11-14T20:37:28Z
dc.date 2019-05
dc.date 2019-10-22T15:58:17Z
dc.date.accessioned 2023-03-01T08:03:08Z
dc.date.available 2023-03-01T08:03:08Z
dc.identifier 2574-0768
dc.identifier 2574-0776
dc.identifier https://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/122943
dc.identifier Chen, Shuowen et al. "Mastering Panel Metrics: Causal Impact of Democracy on Growth." AEA Papers and Proceedings 109 (May 2019): 77-82 © 2018 The Authors
dc.identifier.uri http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/275973
dc.description The relationship between democracy and economic growth is of long standing interest. We revisit the panel data analysis of this relationship by Acemoglu et al. (2019) using state of the art econometric methods. We argue that this and lots of other panel data settings in economics are in fact high-dimensional, resulting in principal estimators—the fixed effects (FE) and Arellano-Bond (AB) estimators—to be biased to the degree that invalidates statistical inference. We can however remove these biases by using simple analytical and sample-splitting methods, and thereby restore valid statistical inference. We find that the debiased FE and AB estimators produce substantially higher estimates of the long-run effect of democracy on growth, providing even stronger support for the key hypothesis in Acemoglu et al. (2019). Given the ubiquitous nature of panel data, we conclude that the use of debiased panel data estimators should substantially improve the quality of empirical inference in economics.
dc.description National Science Foundation (U.S.)
dc.description Spanish State Research Agency (MDM-2016-0684)
dc.format application/pdf
dc.language en
dc.publisher American Economic Association
dc.relation http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20191071
dc.relation AEA Papers and Proceedings
dc.rights Article is made available in accordance with the publisher's policy and may be subject to US copyright law. Please refer to the publisher's site for terms of use.
dc.source American Economic Association
dc.title Mastering Panel Metrics: Causal Impact of Democracy on Growth
dc.type Article
dc.type http://purl.org/eprint/type/JournalArticle


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