Was Growth in Egypt Between 2005 and 2008 Pro-Poor? From Static to Dynamic Poverty Profile

Marotta, Daniela; Yemtsov, Ruslan; El-Laithy, Heba; Abou-Ali, Hala; Al-Shawarby, Sherine

dc.creator	Marotta, Daniela
dc.creator	Yemtsov, Ruslan
dc.creator	El-Laithy, Heba
dc.creator	Abou-Ali, Hala
dc.creator	Al-Shawarby, Sherine
dc.date	2012-03-19T18:00:56Z
dc.date	2012-03-19T18:00:56Z
dc.date	2011-03-01
dc.date.accessioned	2023-02-17T20:55:10Z
dc.date.available	2023-02-17T20:55:10Z
dc.identifier	http://www-wds.worldbank.org/external/default/main?menuPK=64187510&pagePK=64193027&piPK=64187937&theSitePK=523679&menuPK=64187510&searchMenuPK=64187283&siteName=WDS&entityID=000158349_20110314154349
dc.identifier	http://hdl.handle.net/10986/3356
dc.identifier.uri	http://localhost:8080/xmlui/handle/CUHPOERS/244320
dc.description	This paper presents a detailed picture of how sustained growth in Egypt over 2005-2008 affected different groups both above and below the poverty line. This analysis, based on the Household Income, Expenditure and Consumption Panel Survey conducted by Egypt s national statistical agency, compares the changes in the static poverty profiles (based on growth incidence curves on a cross-section of data) with poverty dynamics (relying on panel data, growth incidence curves and transition matrices). The two approaches yield contrasting results: the longitudinal analysis reveals that growth benefited the poor while the cross-sectional analysis shows that the rich benefitted even more. The paper also shows the importance of going beyond averages to look at the trajectories of individual households. Panel data analysis shows that the welfare of the average poor household increased by almost 10 percent per year between 2005 and 2008, enough to move out of poverty. Conversely however, many initially non-poor households were exposed to poverty. As a matter of fact, only 45 percent of the population in Egypt remained consistently out of (near-) poverty throughout the period, while the remaining 55 percent of Egyptians experienced at least one (near-) poverty episode. This high mobility is not a statistical artefact: it reflects the actual process of growth. Taking high vulnerability into account is essential when designing policies to protect the poor and to ensure that growth is really inclusive.
dc.language	English
dc.relation	Policy Research working paper ; no. WPS 5589
dc.rights	CC BY 3.0 IGO
dc.rights	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo/
dc.rights	World Bank
dc.subject	ABSOLUTE DEFINITION
dc.subject	ABSOLUTE INCOME GROWTH
dc.subject	ABSOLUTE SENSE
dc.subject	ABSOLUTE TERMS
dc.subject	ANNUAL GROWTH
dc.subject	ANNUAL GROWTH RATE
dc.subject	AVERAGE GROWTH
dc.subject	AVERAGE GROWTH RATE
dc.subject	AVERAGE INCOME
dc.subject	AVERAGE RATE
dc.subject	CHRONICALLY POOR
dc.subject	CONSUMER GOODS
dc.subject	CONSUMPTION AGGREGATE
dc.subject	CONSUMPTION DATA
dc.subject	CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE
dc.subject	CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA
dc.subject	COUNTRY EXPERIENCES
dc.subject	CROSS COUNTRY
dc.subject	CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA
dc.subject	DEPENDENT VARIABLE
dc.subject	DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
dc.subject	DEVELOPMENT ECONOMICS
dc.subject	DEVELOPMENT GOALS
dc.subject	DEVELOPMENT POLICY
dc.subject	DISTRIBUTION CHANGE
dc.subject	ECONOMIC ACTIVITIES
dc.subject	ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
dc.subject	ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
dc.subject	ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject	ECONOMIC FACTORS
dc.subject	ECONOMIC GROWTH
dc.subject	ECONOMIC INEQUALITY
dc.subject	ECONOMIC PHENOMENA
dc.subject	ECONOMIC SHOCKS
dc.subject	ECONOMIC THEORY
dc.subject	ECONOMICS LETTERS
dc.subject	ECONOMICS LITERATURE
dc.subject	EMPLOYMENT GENERATION
dc.subject	EQUALIZING EFFECT
dc.subject	ERROR TERM
dc.subject	EXTREME POVERTY
dc.subject	FOOD BASKET
dc.subject	FOOD CONSUMPTION
dc.subject	FOOD GOODS
dc.subject	FOOD ITEMS
dc.subject	FOOD POLICY
dc.subject	FRONTIER REGIONS
dc.subject	GLOBAL POVERTY
dc.subject	GROWTH ELASTICITY
dc.subject	GROWTH PERFORMANCE
dc.subject	GROWTH PROCESS
dc.subject	GROWTH RATES
dc.subject	HIGH GROWTH
dc.subject	HIGH INEQUALITY
dc.subject	HIGH INFLATION
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD FOOD SECURITY
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD HEAD
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD INCOME
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD SIZE
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD SURVEY
dc.subject	HOUSEHOLD WELFARE
dc.subject	HOUSING
dc.subject	HUMAN DEVELOPMENT
dc.subject	HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORTS
dc.subject	INCOME DISTRIBUTION
dc.subject	INCOME FLUCTUATIONS
dc.subject	INCOME GROWTH
dc.subject	INCOME INCREASE
dc.subject	INCOME INEQUALITY
dc.subject	INCOME POVERTY
dc.subject	INCOME REDISTRIBUTION
dc.subject	INCOME STUDY
dc.subject	INEQUALITY
dc.subject	INEQUALITY CHANGES
dc.subject	INEQUALITY DATA
dc.subject	LABOUR MARKET
dc.subject	LIVING STANDARDS
dc.subject	LONGITUDINAL DATA
dc.subject	MEAN CONSUMPTION
dc.subject	MEASUREMENT ERROR
dc.subject	MEASUREMENT ERRORS
dc.subject	MEASURING POVERTY
dc.subject	MIDDLE CLASS
dc.subject	NATIONAL ACCOUNTS
dc.subject	NEGATIVE GROWTH
dc.subject	NEGATIVE SLOPE
dc.subject	NON-POOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject	NUTRITION
dc.subject	OBSERVED CHANGE
dc.subject	OBSERVED CHANGES
dc.subject	PER CAPITA CONSUMPTION
dc.subject	POLICY DISCUSSIONS
dc.subject	POLICY RESEARCH
dc.subject	POLITICAL ECONOMY
dc.subject	POOR
dc.subject	POOR HOUSEHOLD
dc.subject	POOR HOUSEHOLDS
dc.subject	POOR PEOPLE
dc.subject	POOR PERSON
dc.subject	POSITIVE GROWTH
dc.subject	POVERTY ANALYSIS
dc.subject	POVERTY ASSESSMENT
dc.subject	POVERTY CHANGES
dc.subject	POVERTY DYNAMICS
dc.subject	POVERTY GAP
dc.subject	POVERTY HEADCOUNT
dc.subject	POVERTY LINE
dc.subject	POVERTY LINES
dc.subject	POVERTY MEASURES
dc.subject	POVERTY PROFILE
dc.subject	POVERTY PROFILES
dc.subject	POVERTY RATES
dc.subject	POVERTY REDUCTION
dc.subject	POVERTY REDUCTION STRATEGY
dc.subject	PRIVATE CONSUMPTION
dc.subject	PRO-POOR
dc.subject	PRO-POOR GROWTH
dc.subject	PROPORTIONATE CHANGES
dc.subject	PUBLIC POLICY
dc.subject	RANDOM VARIABLES
dc.subject	RAPID GROWTH
dc.subject	REAL GROWTH
dc.subject	REDUCING POVERTY
dc.subject	REDUCTION IN POVERTY
dc.subject	REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION
dc.subject	REGIONAL DUMMIES
dc.subject	REGRESSION RESULTS
dc.subject	RELATIVE INCOMES
dc.subject	RELATIVE ROLE
dc.subject	RISING INEQUALITY
dc.subject	RURAL
dc.subject	RURAL AREAS
dc.subject	SCHOOLING
dc.subject	SIGNIFICANT NEGATIVE
dc.subject	SOCIAL MOBILITY
dc.subject	SOCIAL POLICY
dc.subject	SUBSISTENCE
dc.subject	TRANSITION ECONOMIES
dc.subject	URBAN AREAS
dc.subject	WELFARE INDICATOR
dc.subject	WELFARE MEASURE
dc.title	Was Growth in Egypt Between 2005 and 2008 Pro-Poor? From Static to Dynamic Poverty Profile
dc.type	Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper
dc.coverage	Middle East and North Africa
dc.coverage	Egypt, Arab Republic of